Industrial silicon forecast: next month's trend (October)
Oct 09, 2025
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Industrial silicon forecast: next month's trend (October)
| Industrial silicon forecast: next month's trend (October) | |
| Production output at the start of production:733 units nationwide in SeptemberIndustrial silicon submerged arc furnace317 units are in normal operation, an increase of 7 units month-on-month; the operating rate is 43.25%, a month-on-month increase of 0.9%; monthly output is approximately 435,850 tons, a month-on-month increase of 45,600 tons, a 16.88% increase; cumulative output from January to September is 3,068,130 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 611,360 tons, a 16.62% decrease. Some silicon plants in northern China plan to increase production in October. The flood season in the southwest ends at the end of October, and some plan to reduce production or shut down furnaces. The overall supply of industrial silicon is expected to increase in October, with monthly output increasing to 450,000-460,000 tons. 97 silicon production is operating at a low level, with no plans for additional production in October. The operating rate of recycled silicon is currently less than 30%, and monthly output may remain around 20,000-23,000 tons. | |
| Price trends:In September, spot prices for industrial silicon fluctuated upward, following the futures market, with increases ranging from 200 to 400 yuan per ton. End users continued to primarily purchase on-demand, buying at low prices. Intermediaries, however, replenished their inventories as prices continued to rise. While industrial silicon has recently experienced a destocking phenomenon, the reduction only represents approximately 10% of total inventory, and the overall supply-demand imbalance has not been effectively alleviated. Currently, major manufacturers in northern China are signaling increased production, exacerbating bearish sentiment in both upstream and downstream sectors of the industrial silicon market. Entering October, the industrial silicon market is expected to fluctuate within a narrow range. With southern factories planning production cuts, their willingness to ship at low prices is generally low, potentially providing some support for the price floor. | |
| Port cash transaction price | Forecast for next month (yuan/ton) |
| 553# No oxygen | 8700-9500 |
| 553# oxygen | 8800-9600 |
| 441# | 9200-9800 |
| 421# | 9500-10200 |
| 3303# | 10200-10700 |
silicon metal spot price // silicon metal price today
| China's export price of industrial silicon on October 9 | |||
| Brand | Tax-inclusive quote | Rise and fall | Remarks (USD/ton) |
| 421 | 1450-1500 | -- | Huangpu Port, FOB |
| 2202 | 2000-2100 | -- | Huangpu Port, FOB |
| 3303 | 1480-1500 | -- | Huangpu Port, FOB |
| 441 | 1330-1380 | -- | Huangpu Port, FOB |
| 553 | 1300-1320 | -- | Huangpu Port, FOB |
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